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Open de Espana Picks, Odds & Predictions 2026

October 8, 2026 | Golf Tipsters

Data-driven picks, odds and predictions for the Open de Espana. Our model has run the field, compared prices across DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM and the other major US sportsbooks, and priced every golfer's chance of a top-5 finish.

Event Details

TournamentOpen de Espana
Start DateOctober 8, 2026

Top Contenders

Here are the favorites for the Open de Espana based on current sportsbook odds:

Golfer Best Odds Implied Probability
Ludvig Aberg +900 10.0%
Jon Rahm +1000 9.1%
Shane Lowry +2000 4.8%
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra +2200 4.3%
David Puig +2200 4.3%
Marco Penge +2800 3.4%
Patrick Reed +3000 3.2%
Angel Ayora +3300 2.9%
Daniel Hillier +3500 2.8%
Tom McKibbin +3800 2.6%

Our Algorithm's Analysis

Our model compares calculated probabilities (based on world rankings and historical data) against the sportsbook odds to identify where the market has mispriced a golfer. For full predictions with specific picks and stakes, check our tips page.

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Open de Espana odds compared across US sportsbooks

Outright winner prices for the Open de Espana favourites at the major US books, side by side. The best available number on each golfer is highlighted. Prices move, and these are from our most recent scrape rather than live - always check the book before you bet.

Golfer DraftKings FanDuel BetMGM Caesars bet365 Fanatics
Ludvig Aberg - +850 +850 +700 +750 +800
Jon Rahm - +1000 +900 +950 +900 +1000
Shane Lowry - +2000 +2000 +1750 +1800 +1800
Eugenio Lopez-Chacarra +2000 +2200 +2500 +1800 +2200 +2200
Patrick Reed - +2200 +2200 +2100 +2200 +2200
David Puig - +2200 +2500 +2100 +2200 +2200
Tyrrell Hatton - +3000 +2500 +2900 +2800 +3250
Alexander Noren - +2700 +2500 +2800 +2800 +2800
Marco Penge +2700 +3000 +2800 +2500 +2800 +2800
Tom McKibbin - +3000 +3300 +2900 +2800 +2800

Why this matters more than it looks: on a golfer priced around +2000, the spread between the best and worst book on this page is routinely worth more than any tipster's edge. Shopping the price is the one part of betting that is free, certain, and entirely within your control - and it is the reason every pick we send names the book holding the number.

Which golfers are worth backing at these prices?

That is what members get: ten top-finish selections for the Open de Espana, each naming the market, the sportsbook with the best number and the stake. Every pick we have ever sent is published and settled, losers included.

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